Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.288755 4.957261 5.661561 6.455659 7.322886 8.238141 9.273986
2024-12-22 3.269316 4.188145 5.221055 6.454693 7.874518 9.444617 11.299183
2024-12-29 2.710532 3.809312 5.116554 6.754246 8.719148 10.970637 13.714857
2025-01-05 2.271832 3.486244 5.008644 6.997985 9.470571 12.387774 16.033761
2025-01-12 1.881520 3.152099 4.827876 7.105276 10.027273 13.563962 18.080094
2025-01-19 1.514935 2.784198 4.547727 7.038808 10.333297 14.416741 19.733985
2025-01-26 1.285248 2.570452 4.440625 7.171036 10.874020 15.553183 21.741864
2025-02-02 1.094016 2.380585 4.338752 7.287603 11.379918 16.641324 23.696631
2025-02-09 0.871933 2.099379 4.067888 7.137306 11.505570 17.227105 25.012123
2025-02-16 0.690609 1.851175 3.815035 6.984207 11.604884 17.763943 26.258539
2025-02-23 0.571687 1.692843 3.683638 6.993212 11.918198 18.578984 27.868070
2025-03-02 0.452750 1.506570 3.482652 6.876142 12.037245 19.124624 29.123019
2025-03-09 0.405943 1.467717 3.534910 7.162595 12.759065 20.520267 31.550004
2025-03-16 0.333263 1.351757 3.437169 7.201552 13.115703 21.419997 33.330635
2025-03-23 0.305102 1.338197 3.524951 7.544324 13.932038 22.971010 36.009362
2025-03-30 0.272590 1.305043 3.571028 7.817120 14.647139 24.390314 38.527534
2025-04-06 0.230135 1.231670 3.530071 7.937735 15.129596 25.486321 40.617121
2025-04-13 0.179297 1.114003 3.385403 7.868378 15.311637 26.153167 42.122590
2025-04-20 0.151534 1.059826 3.365083 8.012222 15.825851 27.299935 44.299712
2025-04-27 0.126775 1.005657 3.337572 8.138537 16.311130 28.407707 46.430726
2025-05-04 0.091586 0.890361 3.158696 7.976660 16.326740 28.827430 47.602440
2025-05-11 0.064031 0.785103 2.985918 7.811530 16.326093 29.216733 48.729628
2025-05-18 0.048239 0.723705 2.909119 7.821316 16.608317 30.024708 50.453213